Home Publications 14 Day Forecasts MSLP Thickness MSLP Precip 850hPa Temp Jet Streams

Research on Weather and Climate
by Harvey Stern Ph. D.

14 Day Melbourne Forecast

Model and Human Combined

For past model and human combined forecasts:

2013 to 2022 inclusive:

Go to a link of the format:


For example:


For past model and human combined forecasts:

2005 to 2012 inclusive: Go to the link:


About the page

This page introduces the author.

Dr Harvey Stern is a meteorologist of 40+ years' standing, currently with an honorary appointment in the University of Melbourne's School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences. Previously, he headed the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's Climate Services Centre of the Bureau's Victorian Office. Dr Stern holds a Ph. D. from the University of Melbourne for a dissertation entitled "Statistically based weather forecast guidance".

Much of his work has related to the development of computer systems for automated forecasting guidance, to long-term trends in the accuracy of weather predictions, and to various aspects of climate and climate change. Harvey Stern's most recent work suggests that weather forecast accuracy may be increased by mechanically combining human and automated predictions and has resulted in the development of a knowledge based system to generate weather and climate forecasts.

Dr Stern holds a Graduate Diploma in Applied Finance and Investment from the Securities Institute of Australia and, in this context, his work includes evaluating the cost of protecting against global climate change utilising options pricing theory and weather derivatives.

Link: Published research work, including journal papers and conference papers.

Chart Discussion 12 July 2024

Accuracy of Melbourne Rainfall Forecasts

Climate Change Presentation, to the South Caulfield Hebrew Congregation on 08 May 2019, and to San Francisco's Schneerson Center Synagogue on 24 and 25 January 2020.

Global Mean Temperature Trend.

Disclaimer: This site, its content, and style, are the responsibility of the author. It was last updated on 15 July 2024

Home Publications 14 Day Forecasts MSLP Thickness MSLP Precip 850hPa Temp Jet Streams